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	<title>Rutherblog &#187; statistics</title>
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	<description>Ideas for improving people performance - Paul Rutherford, Coach and Consultant</description>
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	<itunes:summary>Too Many Interests, Too Little Time</itunes:summary>
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		<title>Fair Trial</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Mar 2009 21:49:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Rutherford</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[So it goes...]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[books]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[goldacre]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medicine]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[statistics]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[BAD SCIENCE Ben Goldacre&#8217;s book continues a trend that has emerged in my reading over the past couple of years: non-fiction aimed at debunking the imbecilic, the deluded and the irrational. It started with Francis Wheen&#8217;s &#8220;How Mumbo Jumbo Conquered the World&#8221; &#8211; a polemic about flying saucers, New Age spirituality, financial fraud (oh how [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>BAD SCIENCE</strong></p>
<p>Ben Goldacre&#8217;s book continues a trend that has emerged in my reading over the past couple of years: non-fiction aimed at debunking the imbecilic, the deluded and the irrational.</p>
<p>It started with Francis Wheen&#8217;s &#8220;<a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/How-Mumbo-jumbo-Conquered-World-Delusions/dp/0007140975/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1236461995&amp;sr=1-1">How Mumbo Jumbo Conquered the World</a>&#8221; &#8211; a polemic about flying saucers, New Age spirituality, financial fraud (oh how we should have listened), cults, quakery and moral confusion.</p>
<p>Last year, I found Michael Bywater&#8217;s &#8220;<a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Big-Babies-Cant-Just-Grow/dp/1862078831">Big Babies: Or, Why Can&#8217;t We Just Grow Up</a>&#8220;, a rant against the infantilization of the modern world; how we are treated like children who can&#8217;t make their own decisions in a big big bad world. &#8220;Peanuts: make contain nuts&#8221;; &#8220;Hot Coffee: contents may be hot.&#8221;</p>
<p>Both books are very funny; both books are thought-provoking, and tap in to the Grumpy Old Man zeitgeist. But on reflection, they&#8217;re little more than accumulated anecdotes used to illustrate a series of prejudices. Very entertaining cultural criticism, but hardly analyses based on scientific principles.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Bad-Science-Ben-Goldacre/dp/0007240198">&#8216;Bad Science&#8217;</a> takes the debunking genre to a different level altogether.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.paulrutherford.com/wp-content/uploads/bad-science-x.jpg"><img style="border: 0px;" src="http://www.paulrutherford.com/wp-content/uploads/bad-science-x-thumb.jpg" border="0" alt="Bad_Science-x" width="221" height="221" align="left" /></a> Dr Ben Goldacre (a medical doctor, with a medical degree, from a recognised university &#8211; unlike many of the &#8216;experts&#8217; he investigates) writes a column for <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/series/badscience">The Guardian</a> and runs a <a href="http://www.badscience.net/">website</a> collecting stories of manipulated drug trials, selective evidence, misrepresented statistics and fallacious solutions to ill-defined problems.</p>
<p>In doing so, Goldacre has upset many people and created a lot of enemies &#8211; many of whom are in the media itself. His biggest complaint is that most journalists and editors come from the Humanities background and don&#8217;t understand the scientific method generally, or evidence-based medicine specifically.</p>
<p>As he puts it, most science stories in the press aren&#8217;t covered by scientists.</p>
<p>Hence, we are fed an endless stream of nonsense, presented as &#8216;proven&#8217; treatments: detox patches; Hopi ear candles; colonic irrigation; fish oil supplements that improve GCSE results &#8211; Goldacre&#8217;s book is full of analyses of the pseudoscience behind this quakery, and why intelligent people find themselves believing stupid things.</p>
<p>In his sights are Dr Gillian McKeith(PhD), Professor Patrick Holford, Durham Education Services, Big Pharma, MRSA and the MMR Hoax. As he demolishes each one, the reader is given a primer on the scientific method and the use and abuse of statistics. If nothing else, the book is the answer to those people who complain that &#8220;I don&#8217;t know why we do half the stuff we do in maths at school. It&#8217;s no use.&#8221;</p>
<p>There&#8217;s no doubt that Goldacre is a highly intelligent man; sometimes his tone &#8211; both in his writing and on-screen &#8211; is slightly smug. But we should forgive him that &#8211; because he&#8217;s right.</p>
<p>I cannot recommend &#8216;Bad Science&#8217; too highly. It&#8217;s fair, well researched and presents complexity with great clarity. At the risk of sounding like the blurb on a cheap self-help book, it will change the way you see the world: For the better.</p>
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